Working with the Forecast Algorithm Competition Engine (FAC)

Users can use the Forecast Algorithm Competition engine to determine the Best-Fit algorithm to improve the accuracy of low-forecast-accuracy items. The following User Interfaces(UI's) are supported as part of using the Forecast Algorithm Competition Engine:


Search Algorithm Competition Config

Users can use the Search Algorithm Competition Config UI to search the existing algorithm competition configurations (configs). The FAC Engine will run based on the searched algorithm competition configs and find the Best-Fit Algorithm out of them. Using the Run Forecasting Engine option available on the Search Algorithm Competition Config UI, users can directly see the demand forecasts for the items using the Best-Fit Algorithm found by the FAC Engine.

Complete the following steps to search algorithm competition configs:

  1. L og in to the ONE system.

  2. Click Menus/Favs > Demand Planning > Forecast Algorithm Competition > Search Algorithm Competition Config.
    In the NEO UI, users can click on the Menus/Favs icon on the left sidebar and type in the name of the screen in the menu search bar. For more information, see "Using the Menu Search Bar."
    The Search Algorithm Competition Config screen appears.

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  3. Select the Enterprise and Competition Config, if desired, using the picker tool.

  4. Click the Search link.
    The list of available configs appears.

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  5. Click the Export to CSV button to export the report to a CSV file.

  6. In the Config Name column, click the config name link to view the details of the configuration.
    The detailed page for the selected config appears.

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Create an Algorithm Competition Config

Users can use the Create Algorithm Competition Config UI to create different algorithm competition configs.

Complete the following steps to create an algorithm config from the Create Algorithm Competition Config UI:

  1. L og in to the ONE system.

  2. Click Menus/Favs > Demand Planning > Forecast Algorithm Competition > Create Algorithm Competition Config.
    In the NEO UI, users can click on the Menus/Favs icon on the left sidebar and type in the name of the screen in the menu search bar. For more information, see "Using the Menu Search Bar."
    The Create Algorithm Competition Config screen appears.

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  3. Enter values for fields described in the table below. Fields with an asterisk ( * ) are required.


    Field

    Description

    Column 1

    * Enterprise

    Select an enterprise using the picker tool.

    * Config Name

    Type in a name for the algorithm competition config.

    * DP config (config)

    Select a demand planning config using the picker tool.

    Active

    Check the box to make this config active.

    * History Horizon

    Enter a value for the history horizon.

    * Test Horizon

    Enter a value for the test horizon.

    * Algorithm Evaluation Method

    Select an evaluation method from the dropdown menu.

    Write Algorithm Override

    Check the box to have this algorithm override existing algorithms.

    Run Forecasting Engine

    Check the box to run the forecasting engine.

    Column 2






    Use Forecast Accuracy Input

    Check the box to use calculations using input from the forecasting accuracy.

    Use Accuracy Alert Date

    Check the box to use the accuracy alert date in the calculation.

    Accuracy Alert Name

    Select the name of the accuracy alert.

    Top Error Count

    Enter a value for a top error count.

    Accuracy Method

    Select the accuracy method from the dropdown menu.

    Minimal Accuracy Error

    Enter the minimal value for the accuracy error.

    Minimal Abs Deviation

    Enter the value for the minimal abs deviation where abs is (forecast - sales)/sales.

    Accuracy Horizon

    Enter a value for the accuracy horizon.

    Accuracy Time Lag

    Enter a value for the accuracy time lag.


  4. In the Algorithm Competition Methods table, click the Add link.
    A row for a new algorithm displays.

  5. In the *Algorithm Name column, select an algorithm from the dropdown menu. This field is required.

  6. Enter a value for the Algorithm Parameter.

  7. Click Create button to create the algorithm competition config .
    A success message appears.

Run Forecast Algorithm Competition

The Run Forecast Algorithm Competition UI is used to run the forecast algorithm competition engine that determines the Best-Fit Forecasting Algorithm based on the selected competition config.

Complete the following steps to run the forecast algorithm competition engine:

  1. L og in to the ONE system.

  2. Click Menus/Favs > Demand Planning > Forecast Algorithm Competition > Run Forecast Algorithm Competition.
    In the NEO UI, users can click on the Menus/Favs icon on the left sidebar and type in the name of the screen in the menu search bar. For more information, see "Using the Menu Search Bar."
    The Run Forecast Algorithm Competition screen appears.

    images/download/attachments/131836470/image-2023-1-18_11-15-47-version-1-modificationdate-1674062147000-api-v2.png

  3. Enter values for fields described in the table below. Fields with an asterisk ( * ) are required.

    Field Name

    Description

    Start Time

    Use the calendar and clock tools to set a start date and time for the engine to run.

    Plan Start

    Use the calendar tool to set a start time when the engine begins to perform the algorithm competition.

    * Enterprise Name

    Select an enterprise using the picker tool.

    * Hierarchy Type

    Select a hierarchy type from the dropdown menu.

    * Competition Config

    Select a competition config using the picker tool.

    * Subnet Geo Type

    Select a subnet geo type from the dropdown menu.

    * Geography Enterprise

    Select an enterprise based on geography using the picker tool

    * Site Group Type

    Select a site group type using the picker tool.

    * Site Group Level No

    Select a group-level number from the dropdown menu.

    Site Group Level

    Select a site group level using the picker tool.

    * Product Enterprise

    Select the enterprise for the product using the picker tool.

    * Product Group Type

    Select the product group type using the picker tool.

    * Product Group Level No

    Select the product group level number from the dropdown menu.

    Product Group Level

    Select the product group level using the picker tool.

    Classification Code

    Select a classification code from the dropdown menu.

    * Computation UOM

    Select the unit of measure for the computation.

    Rounding Policy UOM

    Select a unit of measure for the rounding policy from the dropdown menu.

    Forecast Accuracy Date Range

    Select the beginning and end dates for the forecast accuracy using the calendar tool.

    Item

    Select an item using the picker tool.

  4. Click the Run Engine button.
    A success message appears. The Job State fields update with the output from the engine run.

Forecast Algorithm Competition Output

Users can use the Forecast Algorithm Competition Output UI to view the evaluation output of the Best Fit Algorithm after running the Forecast Algorithm Competition engine from the Run Forecast Algorithm Competition UI.

Complete the following steps to view the forecast algorithm competition output:

  1. L og in to the ONE system.

  2. Click Menus/Favs > Demand Planning > Forecast Algorithm Competition > Forecast Algorithm Competition Output.
    In the NEO UI, users can click on the Menus/Favs icon on the left sidebar and type in the name of the screen in the menu search bar. For more information, see "Using the Menu Search Bar."
    The Forecast Algorithm Competition Output screen appears.

    images/download/attachments/131836470/image-2023-1-18_11-17-37-version-1-modificationdate-1674062257000-api-v2.png

  3. Enter values for fields described in the table below. Fields with an asterisk ( * ) are required.

    Field

    Description

    * Computation Date

    Select the beginning and end dates for the computation range.

    * Competition Config

    Select a competition config using the picker tool.

    Item

    Select an item using the picker tool.

    Product Group Level

    Select a product group level using the picker tool.

    Site

    Select a site using the picker tool.

    Site Group Level

    Select a site group level using the picker tool.

    Is Best Fit

    Select Yes or No from the dropdown menu to determine if you want to set this as the best fit.

    Exp Trend Limit Applied

    Select Yes or No from the dropdown menu to set an exponential trend limit.

    Total Forecast Buckets

    Enter a value for the number of forecast buckets.

  4. Fill out the filters as desired, and click the Search link.
    The search results display.


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  5. Click the Export to CSV button to export the report to a CSV file.

  6. If desired, select a row or multiple rows and click the Create Algorithm Override button to override the algorithm.

  7. Scroll to the right as desired to view the report.

  8. In the Forecast Details column, click a details link.
    The Algorithm Competition Forecasts screen appears in a new tab.

Forecast Algorithm Competition Selection

Users can use the Forecast Algorithm Competition Selection UI to view the selected best-fit algorithms found by running the Forecast Algorithm Competition Engine.

Complete the following steps to view the forecast algorithm competition selection report:

  1. L og in to the ONE system.

  2. Click Menus/Favs > Demand Planning > Forecast Algorithm Competition > Forecast Algorithm Competition Selection.
    In the NEO UI, users can click on the Menus/Favs icon on the left sidebar and type in the name of the screen in the menu search bar. For more information, see "Using the Menu Search Bar."
    The Forecast Algorithm Competition Selection screen appears.

    images/download/attachments/131836470/image-2023-1-18_11-20-26-version-1-modificationdate-1674062427000-api-v2.png

  3. Enter values for fields described in the table below. Fields with an asterisk ( * ) are required.

    Field

    Description

    * Computation Date

    Select the beginning and end dates for the computation range.

    * Competition Config

    Select a competition config using the picker tool.

    Item

    Select an item using the picker tool.

    Product Group Level

    Select a product group level using the picker tool.

    Site

    Select a site using the picker tool.

    Site Group Level

    Select a site group level using the picker tool.

    Algorithm Change

    Select Yes or No from the dropdown menu to flag this as an algorithm change.

  4. Fill out the filters as desired, and click the Search link.
    The search results display.

  5. Click the Export to CSV button to export the report to a CSV file.